Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Joao FonsecaAbrir el análisis completoTommy PaulAbrir el análisis completo

Indian Wells MastersDuraR32Monday, March 9, 2026
No-vig market probability
Fonseca 34%66% Paul
2.74Recorded odds1.42
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Joao FonsecaVSTommy Paul
6Set 12
6Set 23

Joao Fonseca won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Joao FonsecaTommy Paul
59%
% de victorias en carrera
50%
60%
% de victorias en dura
50%
84%
Mantiene el saque
80%
20%
Rompe el saque
21%
66%
1er saque dentro
62%
71%
Puntos con 1er saque
71%
36%
Puntos al resto ganados
37%
5.5
Aces / partido
5.1
53%
% de tiebreaks
35%
44%
% de sets decisivos
55%
1601
Nivel
1702
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Joao Fonseca50 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Tommy Paul58 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
28%Abierto
4%Cuerpo
20%T
24%T
0%Cuerpo
24%Abierto
26%Abierto
2%Cuerpo
24%T
14%T
3%Cuerpo
31%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Abierto28%
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · Abierto31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Joao Fonseca defeated Tommy Paul 6–2, 6–3 in the second round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, delivering an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Despite Paul entering as the betting favourite at 1.42 odds, Fonseca's superior court control and consistency proved decisive, with the Brazilian claiming both sets with relative ease. The dominant performance suggests Fonseca has found his rhythm on the hard courts of the California desert, where precision and baseline strength are paramount. This result marks a significant scalp for Fonseca in the Masters 1000 calendar and positions him well for a potential deep run at Indian Wells.