Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Kei NishikoriAbrir el análisis completoTommy PaulAbrir el análisis completo

Australian OpenDuraR64Wednesday, January 15, 2025
No-vig market probability
Nishikori 33%67% Paul
2.97Recorded odds1.45
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Kei NishikoriVSTommy Paul
7Set 16
0Set 26
3Set 36
1Set 46

Tommy Paul won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Kei NishikoriTommy Paul
53%
% de victorias en carrera
50%
45%
% de victorias en dura
50%
77%
Mantiene el saque
80%
22%
Rompe el saque
21%
62%
1er saque dentro
62%
68%
Puntos con 1er saque
71%
38%
Puntos al resto ganados
37%
2.9
Aces / partido
5.1
41%
% de tiebreaks
35%
60%
% de sets decisivos
55%
1604
Nivel
1702
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Kei Nishikori129 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Tommy Paul104 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
15%Abierto
19%Cuerpo
19%T
9%T
18%Cuerpo
21%Abierto
17%Abierto
18%Cuerpo
16%T
12%T
21%Cuerpo
14%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · Abierto21%
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · Cuerpo21%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Tommy Paul defeated Kei Nishikori 6–7, 6–0, 6–3, 6–1 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court, confirming his pre-match favourite status with odds of 1.45 against Nishikori's 2.97. After losing a tight opening set to the Japanese veteran, Paul asserted complete control from the second set onward, dismantling his opponent's resistance with successive commanding displays. The American's dominance in the final two sets—particularly the bagel in the second—underscored a significant performance gap once the match's momentum shifted. Paul's progression sets up a second-round encounter that will test whether he can maintain this level against stiffer opposition at Melbourne Park.