Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Lorenzo MusettiAbrir el análisis completoMatteo ArnaldiAbrir el análisis completo

Australian OpenDuraR128Tuesday, January 14, 2025
No-vig market probability
Musetti 61%39% Arnaldi
1.60Recorded odds2.50
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Lorenzo MusettiVSMatteo Arnaldi
7Set 16
4Set 26
7Set 36
6Set 43

Lorenzo Musetti won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Lorenzo MusettiMatteo Arnaldi
56%
% de victorias en carrera
38%
45%
% de victorias en dura
32%
79%
Mantiene el saque
72%
22%
Rompe el saque
19%
64%
1er saque dentro
57%
69%
Puntos con 1er saque
68%
38%
Puntos al resto ganados
36%
3.7
Aces / partido
5.3
45%
% de tiebreaks
50%
69%
% de sets decisivos
29%
1634
Nivel
1462
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Lorenzo Musetti147 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Matteo Arnaldi183 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
18%Abierto
7%Cuerpo
25%T
22%T
10%Cuerpo
18%Abierto
16%Abierto
10%Cuerpo
26%T
14%T
5%Cuerpo
30%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · T25%
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · Abierto30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Lorenzo Musetti defeated fellow Italian Matteo Arnaldi 7–6, 4–6, 7–6, 6–3 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court on 14 January 2025, confirming his status as pre-match favourite at odds of 1.6 to Arnaldi's 2.5. The match proved competitive through three sets, with both players claiming a tiebreak apiece before Musetti seized control in the fourth to secure passage to the second round. The result extends Musetti's head-to-head record against his compatriot and demonstrates his capability to navigate tight contests at Grand Slam level early in the season.