Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Matteo ArnaldiAbrir el análisis completoNovak DjokovićAbrir el análisis completo

Madrid MastersTierra batidaR64Saturday, April 26, 2025
No-vig market probability
Arnaldi 25%75% Djoković
3.93Recorded odds1.28
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Matteo ArnaldiVSNovak Djoković
6Set 13
6Set 24

Matteo Arnaldi won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Matteo ArnaldiNovak Djoković
38%
% de victorias en carrera
77%
60%
% de victorias en tierra batida
71%
72%
Mantiene el saque
86%
19%
Rompe el saque
28%
57%
1er saque dentro
65%
68%
Puntos con 1er saque
73%
36%
Puntos al resto ganados
40%
5.3
Aces / partido
5.9
50%
% de tiebreaks
61%
29%
% de sets decisivos
71%
1462
Nivel
1802
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Matteo Arnaldi74 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Novak Djoković53 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
19%Abierto
8%Cuerpo
24%T
19%T
5%Cuerpo
24%Abierto
23%Abierto
2%Cuerpo
28%T
25%T
2%Cuerpo
21%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · T24%
Objetivo preferidoIguales · T28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Novak Djoković 6–3, 6–4 at the Madrid Masters on clay in the first round, pulling off a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. The Italian, who carried odds of 3.93 against Djoković's 1.28, controlled both sets with consistent tennis and superior court positioning on the red clay. Djoković, seeded high and expected to advance comfortably, struggled to impose his usual rhythm and failed to find the solutions needed to break Arnaldi's serve and dictate play from the baseline. The straightforward nature of the scoreline underscored Arnaldi's dominance in the encounter. The result represents a career-defining victory for the 23-year-old and raises questions about Djoković's form and readiness on the Madrid clay surface this season.