Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Naomi OsakaAbrir el análisis completoVictoria MbokoAbrir el análisis completo

MontrealDuraFThursday, August 7, 2025
No-vig market probability
Osaka 62%38% Mboko
1.58Recorded odds2.55
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Naomi OsakaVSVictoria Mboko
6Set 12
4Set 26
1Set 36

Victoria Mboko won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Naomi OsakaVictoria Mboko
59%
% de victorias en carrera
62%
64%
% de victorias en dura
61%
75%
Mantiene el saque
69%
30%
Rompe el saque
35%
58%
1er saque dentro
65%
72%
Puntos con 1er saque
67%
42%
Puntos al resto ganados
44%
6.2
Aces / partido
4.1
42%
% de tiebreaks
50%
56%
% de sets decisivos
100%
1672
Nivel
1630
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Naomi Osaka86 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Victoria Mboko92 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
24%Abierto
19%Cuerpo
8%T
28%T
17%Cuerpo
3%Abierto
27%Abierto
17%Cuerpo
7%T
10%T
25%Cuerpo
14%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · T28%
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Abierto27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Victoria Mboko defeated Naomi Osaka 2–6, 6–4, 6–1 in the final of the Montreal WTA Masters 1000 on hard court on 7 August 2025, delivering a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Osaka controlled the opening set with relative ease, but Mboko regrouped decisively in the second, breaking Osaka's serve at crucial moments to level the match. The third set proved decisive, with Mboko's aggressive baseline play and improved court positioning overwhelming Osaka, who struggled to find consistency as the match progressed. The upset victory marks a career-defining moment for Mboko, who entered as the underdog at 2.55 odds, while Osaka, favoured at 1.58, failed to claim what would have been a significant title on hard court. Mboko's maiden Masters 1000 triumph substantially elevates her ranking and suggests a potential shift in the competitive landscape at the top of the women's game.