No-vig market probability
Busta 57%43% Paul
1.71Recorded odds2.27
Pablo Carreno BustaVSTommy Paul
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Pablo Carreno BustaTommy Paul
40%
% de victorias en carrera
50%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Tommy Paul defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6–4, 6–4 in the R16 of the Paris Masters on 3 November 2022, a hard court M1000 event. The result constituted an upset, as Carreno Busta entered as the pre-match favourite at odds of 1.71, while Paul was priced at 2.27. Paul's straight-set victory was decisive and composed, allowing him to progress to the quarterfinals with a commanding performance. The win marked a significant scalp for the American against a top-20 opponent at one of the ATP's most prestigious indoor tournaments.