Slovenia and Sweden drew 2-2 in a World Cup qualifier, with the hosts' direct 4-4-2 approach unable to overcome Sweden's superior expected goals output. Slovenia created nine shots but converted limited chances, generating just 0.46 xG despite four efforts on target, while Sweden's 3-1-4-2 setup proved more efficient despite managing only six shots and two on target. The visitors dominated the underlying metrics with 1.04 xG, though their goalkeeper faced a straightforward afternoon, recording a 0% save percentage after conceding two goals from 2.0 post-shot xG. Sandi Lovric and Yasin Ayari each found the net in a match that reflected the gap between shot volume and quality, with Slovenia's territorial dominance unable to translate into a decisive advantage. Both sides will view the result differently depending on qualification ambitions, though Sweden's xG superiority suggests they escaped with a fair outcome.