Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Adrian MannarinoApri l’analisi completaMarin CilicApri l’analisi completa

Hong KongCementoR32Sunday, January 4, 2026
No-vig market probability
Mannarino 45%55% Cilic
2.16Recorded odds1.77
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Adrian MannarinoVSMarin Cilic
3Set 16
2Set 26

Marin Cilic won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Adrian MannarinoMarin Cilic
38%
% di vittorie in carriera
40%
36%
% di vittorie sul cemento
41%
76%
Tiene il servizio
80%
17%
Strappa il servizio
16%
61%
Prima di servizio dentro
57%
68%
Punti sulla prima
75%
35%
Punti in risposta vinti
34%
5.0
Ace / partita
10.1
37%
% di tiebreak
48%
61%
% di set decisivi
44%
1442
Livello
1561
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Adrian Mannarino49 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Marin Cilic56 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
27%Esterno
2%Corpo
24%T
14%T
10%Corpo
22%Esterno
18%Esterno
16%Corpo
16%T
14%T
5%Corpo
30%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno27%
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Marin Cilic defeated Adrian Mannarino 6–3, 6–2 in the first round of the ATP 250 Hong Kong tournament on hard court on 4 January 2026. Cilic, the pre-match favourite at odds of 1.77, delivered a commanding performance to justify his seeding, breaking down Mannarino's resistance with decisive tennis across both sets. Mannarino, at 2.16 odds, offered limited resistance as Cilic controlled the match with clinical execution. The Croatian's straightforward victory underscores his continued fitness and form heading into the Australian summer, while Mannarino faces an early exit from the tournament.