Indian Wells MastersCementoR128Wednesday, March 4, 2026
No-vig market probability
Mannarino 34%66% Berrettini
2.73Recorded odds1.43
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Adrian MannarinoVSMatteo Berrettini
6Set 14
5Set 27
5Set 37
Matteo Berrettini won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Adrian MannarinoMatteo Berrettini
38%
% di vittorie in carriera
59%
36%
% di vittorie sul cemento
53%
76%
Tiene il servizio
88%
17%
Strappa il servizio
15%
61%
Prima di servizio dentro
65%
68%
Punti sulla prima
78%
35%
Punti in risposta vinti
34%
5.0
Ace / partita
10.6
37%
% di tiebreak
57%
61%
% di set decisivi
50%
1442
Livello
1629
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Adrian Mannarino113 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Matteo Berrettini100 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
16%Esterno
15%Corpo
22%T
11%T
8%Corpo
28%Esterno
21%Esterno
16%Corpo
17%T
11%T
11%Corpo
24%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno28%
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno24%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Matteo Berrettini defeated Adrian Mannarino 4–6, 7–5, 7–5 in the first round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court. Berrettini, the pre-match favourite at 1.43 odds, recovered from losing the opening set to claim a straight-sets victory in terms of match outcome, though requiring three sets overall. Mannarino, despite the longer odds at 2.73, mounted resistance in the second and third sets, each going to 7–5 before Berrettini secured the decisive break. The Italian's composure in the latter stages proved decisive as he turned the match around following an early setback. Berrettini's comeback victory positions him favourably in his Indian Wells campaign.