Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alex De MinaurApri l’analisi completaJannik SinnerApri l’analisi completa

Tour FinalsCementoSFSaturday, November 15, 2025
No-vig market probability
Minaur 11%89% Sinner
8.53Recorded odds1.10
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alex De MinaurVSJannik Sinner
5Set 17
2Set 26

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alex De MinaurJannik Sinner
52%
% di vittorie in carriera
78%
58%
% di vittorie sul cemento
79%
79%
Tiene il servizio
88%
24%
Strappa il servizio
28%
58%
Prima di servizio dentro
61%
70%
Punti sulla prima
76%
39%
Punti in risposta vinti
41%
3.5
Ace / partita
6.5
49%
% di tiebreak
69%
49%
% di set decisivi
56%
1688
Livello
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alex De Minaur88 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Jannik Sinner59 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
20%Esterno
20%Corpo
10%T
15%T
15%Corpo
19%Esterno
17%Esterno
12%Corpo
25%T
15%T
3%Corpo
27%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno20%
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Alex De Minaur 7-5 6-2 in the semi-final of the ATP Tour Finals on hard court, a result that confirmed pre-match odds favouring the Italian top seed. De Minaur, competing as a significant underdog at 8.53, offered modest resistance in the opening set before Sinner's superior court control and consistency asserted itself decisively in the second. The scoreline reflects a commanding performance from Sinner, who controlled the rhythm throughout and capitalised on De Minaur's inability to sustain pressure during crucial moments. The victory advances Sinner to the tournament final, reinforcing his status as the year's dominant hard-court performer and extending his record against the Australian.