Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alex De MinaurApri l’analisi completaReilly OpelkaApri l’analisi completa

Cincinnati MastersCementoR64Sunday, August 10, 2025
No-vig market probability
Minaur 79%21% Opelka
1.24Recorded odds4.66
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alex De MinaurVSReilly Opelka
6Set 17
4Set 26

Reilly Opelka won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alex De MinaurReilly Opelka
53%
% di vittorie in carriera
50%
58%
% di vittorie sul cemento
50%
79%
Tiene il servizio
90%
24%
Strappa il servizio
8%
58%
Prima di servizio dentro
66%
70%
Punti sulla prima
77%
39%
Punti in risposta vinti
28%
3.5
Ace / partita
16.4
49%
% di tiebreak
54%
49%
% di set decisivi
46%
1695
Livello
1554
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alex De Minaur69 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Reilly Opelka76 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
25%Esterno
9%Corpo
19%T
25%T
6%Corpo
17%Esterno
24%Esterno
7%Corpo
22%T
12%T
0%Corpo
36%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno25%
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno36%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Reilly Opelka defeated Alex De Minaur 7–6, 6–4 in the first round of the Cincinnati Masters on hard court, delivering an upset against the favoured Australian. De Minaur entered as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.24, but Opelka's commanding performance—particularly his serve-based game—proved decisive in both sets. The American secured the opening set via tiebreak before breaking clear in the second to advance comfortably. This result represents a significant statement from Opelka at a Masters 1000 event and demonstrates his capacity to trouble top-ranked opponents on hard courts, whilst De Minaur will seek to reassess his form heading into the remainder of the summer swing.