Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander BublikApri l’analisi completaAndrey RublevApri l’analisi completa

Madrid MastersTerra rossaR32Sunday, April 27, 2025
No-vig market probability
Bublik 22%78% Rublev
4.38Recorded odds1.27
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander BublikVSAndrey Rublev
6Set 14
0Set 26
6Set 34

Alexander Bublik won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander BublikAndrey Rublev
54%
% di vittorie in carriera
60%
64%
% di vittorie sulla terra
56%
81%
Tiene il servizio
85%
15%
Strappa il servizio
21%
61%
Prima di servizio dentro
63%
76%
Punti sulla prima
76%
34%
Punti in risposta vinti
37%
10.8
Ace / partita
7.4
53%
% di tiebreak
44%
70%
% di set decisivi
57%
1646
Livello
1642
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Bublik71 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Andrey Rublev67 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
20%Esterno
1%Corpo
31%T
17%T
4%Corpo
27%Esterno
19%Esterno
4%Corpo
30%T
18%T
3%Corpo
25%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T31%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alexander Bublik defeated Andrey Rublev 6-4, 0-6, 6-4 in the Madrid Masters R32 on clay on 27 April 2025, producing a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Rublev entered as the heavy favourite at 1.27 odds, whilst Bublik was priced at 4.38, yet the Kazakhstani player executed a composed performance to claim victory in three sets. After dropping the opening set, Bublik regrouped decisively in the second, shutting out his opponent entirely before securing the decider with consistent tennis. The result marks a notable scalp for Bublik at the Masters 1000 level and demonstrates his capacity to trouble higher-ranked opposition on the red clay.