Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Torna al calendario
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander BublikApri l’analisi completaLorenzo MusettiApri l’analisi completa

Hong KongCementoFSunday, January 11, 2026
No-vig market probability
Bublik 52%48% Musetti
1.86Recorded odds2.05
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander BublikVSLorenzo Musetti
7Set 16
6Set 23

Alexander Bublik won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander BublikLorenzo Musetti
54%
% di vittorie in carriera
56%
48%
% di vittorie sul cemento
45%
81%
Tiene il servizio
79%
15%
Strappa il servizio
22%
61%
Prima di servizio dentro
64%
76%
Punti sulla prima
69%
34%
Punti in risposta vinti
38%
10.8
Ace / partita
3.7
53%
% di tiebreak
45%
70%
% di set decisivi
69%
1646
Livello
1634
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Bublik67 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Lorenzo Musetti73 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
18%Esterno
9%Corpo
25%T
28%T
7%Corpo
12%Esterno
12%Esterno
15%Corpo
25%T
30%T
7%Corpo
11%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · T28%
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · T30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alexander Bublik defeated Lorenzo Musetti 7–6, 6–3 in the final of the ATP 250 Hong Kong event on hard court, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.86 to Musetti's 2.05. The Kazakhstani player controlled the encounter, taking a competitive opening set via tiebreak before dominating the second to claim his title. Bublik's composed performance in the decider underlined his superiority on the day, with Musetti unable to mount a sustained challenge after the first-set contest. The victory extends Bublik's winning streak and marks a significant title at a 250-level event, while Musetti's runner-up finish offers limited consolation in his bid to climb the rankings.