Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Torna al calendario
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander ZverevApri l’analisi completaCarlos AlcarazApri l’analisi completa

Australian OpenCementoSFFriday, January 30, 2026
No-vig market probability
Zverev 18%82% Alcaraz
5.19Recorded odds1.16
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander ZverevVSCarlos Alcaraz
4Set 16
6Set 27
7Set 36
7Set 46
5Set 57

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander ZverevCarlos Alcaraz
60%
% di vittorie in carriera
80%
62%
% di vittorie sul cemento
78%
86%
Tiene il servizio
86%
19%
Strappa il servizio
29%
69%
Prima di servizio dentro
65%
74%
Punti sulla prima
72%
36%
Punti in risposta vinti
41%
8.6
Ace / partita
4.4
58%
% di tiebreak
59%
48%
% di set decisivi
67%
1814
Livello
1946
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Zverev207 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Carlos Alcaraz187 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
22%Esterno
8%Corpo
22%T
22%T
9%Corpo
17%Esterno
28%Esterno
8%Corpo
16%T
17%T
11%Corpo
20%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T22%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Alexander Zverev 6-4, 7-6, 6-7, 6-7, 7-5 in the Australian Open semi-final on hard court, securing his place in the final despite a spirited comeback from the German. As the heavy pre-match favourite at 1.16 odds, Alcaraz controlled the opening sets but faced a stern challenge when Zverev forced a deciding fifth set, levelling the match through two consecutive tie-break victories. The Spaniard's experience and composure ultimately prevailed in the final set, where he broke through Zverev's resistance to claim victory in a gruelling five-set encounter. This result underscores Alcaraz's mental resilience on the Grand Slam stage and sets up a final showdown against an opponent to be determined, whilst Zverev's loss extends his wait for a maiden Grand Slam title.