Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander ZverevApri l’analisi completaJannik SinnerApri l’analisi completa

Indian Wells MastersCementoSFSaturday, March 14, 2026
No-vig market probability
Zverev 19%81% Sinner
4.91Recorded odds1.17
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander ZverevVSJannik Sinner
2Set 16
4Set 26

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander ZverevJannik Sinner
60%
% di vittorie in carriera
78%
62%
% di vittorie sul cemento
79%
86%
Tiene il servizio
88%
19%
Strappa il servizio
28%
69%
Prima di servizio dentro
61%
74%
Punti sulla prima
76%
36%
Punti in risposta vinti
41%
8.6
Ace / partita
6.5
58%
% di tiebreak
69%
48%
% di set decisivi
56%
1814
Livello
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Zverev53 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Jannik Sinner51 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
17%Esterno
6%Corpo
28%T
17%T
8%Corpo
25%Esterno
16%Esterno
14%Corpo
24%T
14%T
12%Corpo
22%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T28%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T24%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Alexander Zverev 6–2, 6–4 in the semi-final of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court on 14 March 2026, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with a commanding performance. Sinner's victory was emphatic, dropping just six games across two sets against an opponent who entered as a substantial underdog at 4.91 odds. The Italian's control throughout the match reflected the odds disparity, with Zverev unable to mount sustained pressure against a player operating at peak efficiency. This result sees Sinner advance to the final of the Masters 1000 event and reinforces his position among the tour's elite, whilst Zverev's semi-final exit marks another setback in his campaign to reclaim consistency at the highest level.