Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Torna al calendario
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexei PopyrinApri l’analisi completaMatteo ArnaldiApri l’analisi completa

BrisbaneCementoR32Monday, December 30, 2024
No-vig market probability
Popyrin 60%40% Arnaldi
1.61Recorded odds2.46
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexei PopyrinVSMatteo Arnaldi
3Set 16
2Set 26

Matteo Arnaldi won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexei PopyrinMatteo Arnaldi
35%
% di vittorie in carriera
38%
41%
% di vittorie sul cemento
32%
81%
Tiene il servizio
72%
14%
Strappa il servizio
19%
62%
Prima di servizio dentro
57%
74%
Punti sulla prima
68%
33%
Punti in risposta vinti
36%
9.2
Ace / partita
5.3
29%
% di tiebreak
50%
43%
% di set decisivi
29%
1488
Livello
1462
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexei Popyrin41 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Matteo Arnaldi54 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
17%Esterno
12%Corpo
24%T
17%T
10%Corpo
20%Esterno
13%Esterno
20%Corpo
17%T
13%T
4%Corpo
33%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T24%
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno33%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Alexei Popyrin 6–3, 6–2 at the ATP 250 Brisbane tournament on hard court in the first round on 30 December 2024, upsetting the pre-match favourite. Popyrin entered as the odds-on favourite at 1.61, but Arnaldi's clinical performance dismantled the Australian's challenge across two sets, with the Italian breaking serve and maintaining control throughout. The decisive margin and early exit represent a significant setback for Popyrin in the opening week of the season, whilst Arnaldi advances with considerable momentum into the tournament proper.