Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Anastasia PotapovaApri l’analisi completaDaria KasatkinaApri l’analisi completa

BrisbaneCementoR64Sunday, January 4, 2026
No-vig market probability
Potapova 50%50% Kasatkina
1.94Recorded odds1.94
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Anastasia PotapovaVSDaria Kasatkina
7Set 15
4Set 26
6Set 34

Anastasia Potapova won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Anastasia PotapovaDaria Kasatkina
45%
% di vittorie in carriera
42%
36%
% di vittorie sul cemento
42%
61%
Tiene il servizio
57%
32%
Strappa il servizio
38%
58%
Prima di servizio dentro
68%
64%
Punti sulla prima
59%
42%
Punti in risposta vinti
45%
2.4
Ace / partita
1.5
38%
% di tiebreak
50%
67%
% di set decisivi
44%
1559
Livello
1429
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Anastasia Potapova106 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Daria Kasatkina112 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
24%Esterno
12%Corpo
17%T
14%T
13%Corpo
20%Esterno
28%Esterno
8%Corpo
15%T
21%T
21%Corpo
7%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno24%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Anastasia Potapova defeated Daria Kasatkina 7–5, 4–6, 6–4 in the first round of the Brisbane WTA 250 on hard court on 4 January 2026. Despite Kasatkina entering as the pre-match favourite according to the odds, Potapova secured the upset victory in a competitive three-set encounter. The first set went to Potapova 7–5, before Kasatkina levelled the match by taking the second set 6–4. Potapova regained control in the decider, winning 6–4 to advance. The result represents a solid opening victory for Potapova at the tournament and a setback for the seeded Kasatkina in her Brisbane campaign.