Australian OpenCementoR64Wednesday, January 21, 2026
No-vig market probability
Potapova 30%70% Raducanu
3.13Recorded odds1.35
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Anastasia PotapovaVSEmma Raducanu
7Set 16
6Set 22
Anastasia Potapova won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Anastasia PotapovaEmma Raducanu
45%
% di vittorie in carriera
52%
36%
% di vittorie sul cemento
52%
61%
Tiene il servizio
69%
32%
Strappa il servizio
34%
58%
Prima di servizio dentro
67%
64%
Punti sulla prima
64%
42%
Punti in risposta vinti
43%
2.4
Ace / partita
2.8
38%
% di tiebreak
55%
67%
% di set decisivi
42%
1559
Livello
1604
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Anastasia Potapova66 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Emma Raducanu62 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
18%Esterno
24%Corpo
11%T
15%T
20%Corpo
12%Esterno
15%Esterno
29%Corpo
8%T
27%T
11%Corpo
10%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Sul corpo24%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Sul corpo29%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Anastasia Potapova defeated Emma Raducanu 7–6, 6–2 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court on 21 January 2026, an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Raducanu entered as the odds-on favourite at 1.35, whilst Potapova was priced at 3.13, yet the Russian proved the steadier competitor across both sets. The opening set went to a tiebreak, where Potapova secured the crucial points to claim it, before dominating the second set to close out the match convincingly. The result represents a significant scalp for Potapova's Australian Open campaign and raises questions about Raducanu's current form heading deeper into the tournament.