Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Torna al calendario
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Brandon NakashimaApri l’analisi completaCarlos AlcarazApri l’analisi completa

TokyoCementoQFSunday, September 28, 2025
No-vig market probability
Nakashima 11%89% Alcaraz
8.42Recorded odds1.08
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Brandon NakashimaVSCarlos Alcaraz
2Set 16
4Set 26

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Brandon NakashimaCarlos Alcaraz
41%
% di vittorie in carriera
80%
50%
% di vittorie sul cemento
78%
85%
Tiene il servizio
86%
15%
Strappa il servizio
29%
64%
Prima di servizio dentro
65%
74%
Punti sulla prima
72%
34%
Punti in risposta vinti
41%
9.2
Ace / partita
4.4
36%
% di tiebreak
59%
44%
% di set decisivi
67%
1593
Livello
1946
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Brandon Nakashima64 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Carlos Alcaraz45 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
23%Esterno
5%Corpo
23%T
14%T
3%Corpo
31%Esterno
16%Esterno
9%Corpo
31%T
16%T
2%Corpo
27%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno31%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Brandon Nakashima 6–2, 6–4 in the quarter-final of the ATP 250 Tokyo tournament on hard court, confirming his status as the overwhelming pre-match favourite with odds of 1.08 against Nakashima's 8.42. Alcaraz's dominant performance saw him control both sets with consistent serving and baseline precision, allowing Nakashima few opportunities to mount a sustained challenge. The Spaniard's clinical execution in the first set established early momentum, which he maintained throughout the second to secure a convincing progression. This victory underscores Alcaraz's continued form on hard courts and his readiness for the closing stages of the season.