Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Brandon NakashimaApri l’analisi completaLorenzo SonegoApri l’analisi completa

WimbledonErbaR32Saturday, July 5, 2025
No-vig market probability
Nakashima 64%36% Sonego
1.52Recorded odds2.74
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Brandon NakashimaVSLorenzo Sonego
7Set 16
6Set 27
6Set 37
6Set 43
6Set 57

Lorenzo Sonego won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Brandon NakashimaLorenzo Sonego
41%
% di vittorie in carriera
33%
17%
% di vittorie sull'erba
25%
85%
Tiene il servizio
82%
15%
Strappa il servizio
13%
64%
Prima di servizio dentro
66%
74%
Punti sulla prima
71%
34%
Punti in risposta vinti
32%
9.2
Ace / partita
6.1
36%
% di tiebreak
59%
44%
% di set decisivi
42%
1593
Livello
1442
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Brandon Nakashima199 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Lorenzo Sonego188 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
28%Esterno
8%Corpo
16%T
16%T
9%Corpo
23%Esterno
23%Esterno
13%Corpo
15%T
22%T
18%Corpo
10%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno28%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno23%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Lorenzo Sonego defeated Brandon Nakashima 6–7, 7–6, 7–6, 3–6, 7–6 in a five-set encounter at Wimbledon's second round on grass on 5 July 2025. The result constituted an upset, with Nakashima entering as the pre-match favourite at 1.52 odds against Sonego's 2.74. The match proved extraordinarily tight across the opening three sets, each decided in tiebreaks before Nakashima claimed the fourth set to force a decider. Sonego ultimately prevailed in the fifth-set tiebreak, demonstrating resilience and composure on the grass court. The Italian's victory represents a significant scalp against a higher-seeded opponent and propels him into the third round, whilst Nakashima's exit marks a disappointing early departure from the tournament.