Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Brandon NakashimaApri l’analisi completaMatteo ArnaldiApri l’analisi completa

Indian Wells MastersCementoR32Monday, March 10, 2025
No-vig market probability
Nakashima 49%51% Arnaldi
1.99Recorded odds1.92
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Brandon NakashimaVSMatteo Arnaldi
6Set 12
6Set 24

Brandon Nakashima won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Brandon NakashimaMatteo Arnaldi
41%
% di vittorie in carriera
38%
50%
% di vittorie sul cemento
32%
85%
Tiene il servizio
72%
15%
Strappa il servizio
19%
64%
Prima di servizio dentro
57%
74%
Punti sulla prima
68%
34%
Punti in risposta vinti
36%
9.2
Ace / partita
5.3
36%
% di tiebreak
50%
44%
% di set decisivi
29%
1593
Livello
1462
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Brandon Nakashima45 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Matteo Arnaldi56 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
27%Esterno
7%Corpo
20%T
18%T
4%Corpo
24%Esterno
16%Esterno
11%Corpo
23%T
16%T
4%Corpo
30%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno27%
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Brandon Nakashima defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6–2, 6–4 in the second round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, claiming a notable upset against the pre-match favourite. Arnaldi entered as the slight odds-on selection at 1.92, but Nakashima's superior court control and consistency proved decisive throughout the encounter. The American's commanding performance in the opening set established early momentum, which he maintained through the second to secure passage to the third round. This victory represents a significant scalp for Nakashima at a Masters 1000 event and suggests improved form heading into the latter stages of the tournament.