Indian Wells MastersCementoSFSaturday, March 14, 2026
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 81%19% Medvedev
1.17Recorded odds4.84
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Carlos AlcarazVSDaniil Medvedev
3Set 16
6Set 27
Daniil Medvedev won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Carlos AlcarazDaniil Medvedev
80%
% di vittorie in carriera
69%
78%
% di vittorie sul cemento
70%
86%
Tiene il servizio
85%
29%
Strappa il servizio
25%
65%
Prima di servizio dentro
63%
72%
Punti sulla prima
75%
41%
Punti in risposta vinti
39%
4.4
Ace / partita
8.4
59%
% di tiebreak
52%
67%
% di set decisivi
56%
1946
Livello
1722
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Carlos Alcaraz62 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Daniil Medvedev75 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
27%Esterno
2%Corpo
24%T
15%T
6%Corpo
26%Esterno
39%Esterno
1%Corpo
12%T
35%T
1%Corpo
12%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno27%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno39%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Daniil Medvedev upset pre-match favourite Carlos Alcaraz 6–3, 7–6 in the semi-final of the ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells on hard court, a result that defied the odds which favoured Alcaraz at 1.17 to 4.84. Medvedev's composed performance, particularly in a tight second set decided in a tie-break, demonstrated his capacity to compete at the highest level against the world's elite. The Russian's victory on the California hard courts underscores his continued resilience and tactical acumen in Masters events. This result significantly reshapes the tournament's trajectory and suggests Medvedev remains a formidable contender in best-of-three formats.