Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Torna al calendario
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazApri l’analisi completaSebastian BaezApri l’analisi completa

TokyoCementoR32Thursday, September 25, 2025
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 95%5% Baez
1.01Recorded odds17.87
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSSebastian Baez
6Set 14
6Set 22

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazSebastian Baez
80%
% di vittorie in carriera
38%
78%
% di vittorie sul cemento
17%
86%
Tiene il servizio
68%
29%
Strappa il servizio
25%
65%
Prima di servizio dentro
71%
72%
Punti sulla prima
62%
41%
Punti in risposta vinti
39%
4.4
Ace / partita
1.3
59%
% di tiebreak
17%
67%
% di set decisivi
54%
1946
Livello
1459
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz56 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Sebastian Baez54 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
25%Esterno
0%Corpo
27%T
18%T
2%Corpo
29%Esterno
17%Esterno
11%Corpo
24%T
22%T
4%Corpo
22%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno29%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T24%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Sebastian Baez 6–4, 6–2 in the first round of the ATP 250 Tokyo tournament on hard court, confirming his status as the overwhelming pre-match favourite with odds of 1.01 to Baez's 17.87. The Spanish top seed controlled the match throughout, breaking serve decisively in both sets to secure a comfortable victory. Alcaraz's commanding performance in the opening round suggests he remains in strong form as the tournament progresses toward the latter stages.