Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daniil MedvedevApri l’analisi completaHolger RuneApri l’analisi completa

Indian Wells MastersCementoSFSaturday, March 15, 2025
No-vig market probability
Medvedev 63%37% Rune
1.56Recorded odds2.63
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daniil MedvedevVSHolger Rune
5Set 17
4Set 26

Holger Rune won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daniil MedvedevHolger Rune
69%
% di vittorie in carriera
54%
70%
% di vittorie sul cemento
52%
85%
Tiene il servizio
80%
25%
Strappa il servizio
17%
63%
Prima di servizio dentro
61%
75%
Punti sulla prima
70%
39%
Punti in risposta vinti
35%
8.4
Ace / partita
5.1
52%
% di tiebreak
56%
56%
% di set decisivi
52%
1722
Livello
1600
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daniil Medvedev60 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Holger Rune70 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
20%Esterno
18%Corpo
17%T
20%T
15%Corpo
10%Esterno
27%Esterno
13%Corpo
11%T
16%T
13%Corpo
20%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno20%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Holger Rune defeated Daniil Medvedev 7–5, 6–4 in the semi-final of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, delivering a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Medvedev, seeded higher and backed at 1.56 odds, entered as the expected victor, but Rune's composed performance across both sets proved decisive. The Danish player broke through in the opening set's crucial moments to secure the first frame, then maintained his momentum in the second to seal a commanding victory. This result marks a notable scalp for Rune at a Masters 1000 event and sends him through to the final, where he will face a fresh opponent after a demanding semi-final. The upset underscores Rune's improving consistency on hard courts and represents a significant stride in his bid for a maiden Masters title.