Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daniil MedvedevApri l’analisi completaLearner TienApri l’analisi completa

Australian OpenCementoR16Sunday, January 25, 2026
No-vig market probability
Medvedev 66%34% Tien
1.43Recorded odds2.75
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daniil MedvedevVSLearner Tien
4Set 16
0Set 26
3Set 36

Learner Tien won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daniil MedvedevLearner Tien
69%
% di vittorie in carriera
60%
70%
% di vittorie sul cemento
62%
85%
Tiene il servizio
78%
25%
Strappa il servizio
25%
63%
Prima di servizio dentro
64%
75%
Punti sulla prima
69%
39%
Punti in risposta vinti
39%
8.4
Ace / partita
4.5
52%
% di tiebreak
75%
56%
% di set decisivi
43%
1722
Livello
1639
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daniil Medvedev85 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Learner Tien68 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
21%Esterno
11%Corpo
21%T
27%T
4%Corpo
16%Esterno
21%Esterno
7%Corpo
25%T
15%T
3%Corpo
29%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · T27%
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno29%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Learner Tien produced a dominant upset over Daniil Medvedev in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard court, winning 6-4, 6-0, 6-3 on 25 January 2026. Despite Medvedev's status as the pre-match favourite at odds of 1.43, the American emerged with a commanding performance, particularly in the second set where he conceded no games. Tien's clinical execution and consistency throughout the match proved too much for the Russian, who struggled to find rhythm and solutions across all three sets. The decisive nature of the victory—especially the bagel in the second set—underscored the gulf in form on the day. This result marks a significant breakthrough for Tien at Grand Slam level, eliminating a former top-three player and advancing to the quarterfinals.