Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daria KasatkinaApri l’analisi completaLiudmila SamsonovaApri l’analisi completa

Indian WellsCementoR32Monday, March 10, 2025
No-vig market probability
Kasatkina 59%41% Samsonova
1.67Recorded odds2.36
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daria KasatkinaVSLiudmila Samsonova
6Set 12
3Set 26
2Set 36

Liudmila Samsonova won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daria KasatkinaLiudmila Samsonova
42%
% di vittorie in carriera
58%
42%
% di vittorie sul cemento
56%
57%
Tiene il servizio
73%
38%
Strappa il servizio
29%
68%
Prima di servizio dentro
57%
59%
Punti sulla prima
70%
45%
Punti in risposta vinti
41%
1.5
Ace / partita
4.4
50%
% di tiebreak
44%
44%
% di set decisivi
53%
1429
Livello
1591
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daria Kasatkina70 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Liudmila Samsonova85 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
14%Esterno
14%Corpo
24%T
24%T
10%Corpo
13%Esterno
25%Esterno
18%Corpo
9%T
8%T
13%Corpo
27%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T24%
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Liudmila Samsonova defeated Daria Kasatkina 2–6, 6–3, 6–2 in the Indian Wells R32 on hard court on 10 March 2025, pulling off an upset against the pre-match favourite. Kasatkina, the odds-on pick at 1.67, struggled to maintain control after losing the opening set, allowing Samsonova to build momentum through the middle and closing stages. Samsonova's improved consistency in the second and third sets proved decisive, as she neutralised Kasatkina's early dominance and secured the straight-sets turnaround. The result marks a significant scalp for Samsonova at the Masters 1000 level and suggests a potential shift in their recent head-to-head dynamic.