Indian Wells MastersCementoR32Sunday, March 8, 2026
No-vig market probability
Shapovalov 8%92% Sinner
11.16Recorded odds1.03
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Denis ShapovalovVSJannik Sinner
3Set 16
2Set 26
Jannik Sinner won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Denis ShapovalovJannik Sinner
43%
% di vittorie in carriera
78%
47%
% di vittorie sul cemento
79%
82%
Tiene il servizio
88%
17%
Strappa il servizio
28%
60%
Prima di servizio dentro
61%
74%
Punti sulla prima
76%
35%
Punti in risposta vinti
41%
8.0
Ace / partita
6.5
49%
% di tiebreak
69%
24%
% di set decisivi
56%
1604
Livello
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Denis Shapovalov56 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Jannik Sinner43 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
21%Esterno
4%Corpo
25%T
16%T
5%Corpo
29%Esterno
26%Esterno
0%Corpo
26%T
28%T
5%Corpo
16%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno29%
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · T28%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Jannik Sinner defeated Denis Shapovalov 6–3, 6–2 in the second round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, justifying his status as a heavy pre-match favourite at odds of 1.03. Shapovalov, trading at 11.16, offered little resistance as Sinner controlled the match from the outset, breaking serve multiple times and maintaining consistent pressure throughout both sets. The Italian's dominance was evident in the scoreline, with Shapovalov unable to mount a sustained challenge despite his reputation for aggressive tennis. This commanding performance underscores Sinner's current form and standing among the tour's elite, positioning him well for deeper tournament runs as he continues his 2026 campaign.