Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Denis ShapovalovApri l’analisi completaStéfanos TsitsipásApri l’analisi completa

Indian Wells MastersCementoR128Wednesday, March 4, 2026
No-vig market probability
Shapovalov 45%55% Tsitsipás
2.09Recorded odds1.72
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Denis ShapovalovVSStéfanos Tsitsipás
6Set 12
3Set 26
6Set 34

Denis Shapovalov won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Denis ShapovalovStéfanos Tsitsipás
43%
% di vittorie in carriera
55%
47%
% di vittorie sul cemento
53%
82%
Tiene il servizio
86%
17%
Strappa il servizio
15%
60%
Prima di servizio dentro
63%
74%
Punti sulla prima
76%
35%
Punti in risposta vinti
34%
8.0
Ace / partita
7.4
49%
% di tiebreak
53%
24%
% di set decisivi
50%
1604
Livello
1596
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Denis Shapovalov67 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Stéfanos Tsitsipás84 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
4%Esterno
13%Corpo
36%T
10%T
1%Corpo
34%Esterno
36%Esterno
11%Corpo
7%T
23%T
7%Corpo
17%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T36%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno36%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Denis Shapovalov defeated Stéfanos Tsitsipás 6-2, 3-6, 6-4 in the first round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Shapovalov, available at 2.09 odds, outplayed the higher-ranked Tsitsipás, who entered as the betting favourite at 1.72. The Canadian took control early with a dominant first set, though Tsitsipás responded in the second to level the match. Shapovalov's composure proved decisive in the decider, securing the break of serve needed to seal progression. The result represents a significant statement from Shapovalov against a top-tier opponent and strengthens his credentials heading into the latter stages of the tournament.