Indian Wells MastersCementoR128Wednesday, March 4, 2026
No-vig market probability
Shapovalov 45%55% Tsitsipás
2.09Recorded odds1.72
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Denis ShapovalovVSStéfanos Tsitsipás
6Set 12
3Set 26
6Set 34
Denis Shapovalov won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Denis ShapovalovStéfanos Tsitsipás
43%
% di vittorie in carriera
55%
47%
% di vittorie sul cemento
53%
82%
Tiene il servizio
86%
17%
Strappa il servizio
15%
60%
Prima di servizio dentro
63%
74%
Punti sulla prima
76%
35%
Punti in risposta vinti
34%
8.0
Ace / partita
7.4
49%
% di tiebreak
53%
24%
% di set decisivi
50%
1604
Livello
1596
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Denis Shapovalov67 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Stéfanos Tsitsipás84 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
4%Esterno
13%Corpo
36%T
10%T
1%Corpo
34%Esterno
36%Esterno
11%Corpo
7%T
23%T
7%Corpo
17%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T36%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno36%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Denis Shapovalov defeated Stéfanos Tsitsipás 6-2, 3-6, 6-4 in the first round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Shapovalov, available at 2.09 odds, outplayed the higher-ranked Tsitsipás, who entered as the betting favourite at 1.72. The Canadian took control early with a dominant first set, though Tsitsipás responded in the second to level the match. Shapovalov's composure proved decisive in the decider, securing the break of serve needed to seal progression. The result represents a significant statement from Shapovalov against a top-tier opponent and strengthens his credentials heading into the latter stages of the tournament.