Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaApri l’analisi completaIga ŚwiątekApri l’analisi completa

Australian OpenCementoQFWednesday, January 28, 2026
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 55%45% Świątek
1.71Recorded odds2.13
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSIga Świątek
7Set 15
6Set 21

Elena Rybakina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaIga Świątek
78%
% di vittorie in carriera
83%
80%
% di vittorie sul cemento
81%
81%
Tiene il servizio
79%
35%
Strappa il servizio
47%
58%
Prima di servizio dentro
64%
73%
Punti sulla prima
68%
44%
Punti in risposta vinti
49%
6.4
Ace / partita
2.3
57%
% di tiebreak
65%
60%
% di set decisivi
73%
1954
Livello
1901
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina59 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Iga Świątek55 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
15%Esterno
8%Corpo
29%T
14%T
5%Corpo
29%Esterno
16%Esterno
20%Corpo
16%T
18%T
22%Corpo
7%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T29%
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Sul corpo22%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Elena Rybakina defeated Iga Świątek 7–5, 6–1 in the Australian Open quarter-final on hard court, confirming her status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.71 to Świątek's 2.13. Rybakina's dominant second set performance, where she conceded only one game, underscored her control throughout the encounter. The Kazakh player's superior court positioning and serving proved decisive against Świątek, who struggled to establish the rhythm that has defined her clay-court success. The decisive margin in the second set indicated a clear shift in momentum following the competitive opening set. Rybakina's progression to the semi-finals strengthens her claim as a genuine Grand Slam contender on hard courts.