Australian OpenCementoSFThursday, January 29, 2026
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 66%34% Pegula
1.43Recorded odds2.77
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Elena RybakinaVSJessica Pegula
6Set 13
7Set 26
Elena Rybakina won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Elena RybakinaJessica Pegula
78%
% di vittorie in carriera
60%
80%
% di vittorie sul cemento
62%
81%
Tiene il servizio
72%
35%
Strappa il servizio
36%
58%
Prima di servizio dentro
62%
73%
Punti sulla prima
66%
44%
Punti in risposta vinti
44%
6.4
Ace / partita
2.9
57%
% di tiebreak
53%
60%
% di set decisivi
54%
1954
Livello
1809
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Elena Rybakina73 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Jessica Pegula76 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
12%Esterno
12%Corpo
26%T
21%T
11%Corpo
18%Esterno
18%Esterno
20%Corpo
13%T
9%T
30%Corpo
9%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T26%
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Sul corpo30%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Elena Rybakina defeated Jessica Pegula 6–3, 7–6 in the semi-final of the Australian Open on hard court, confirming her status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.43 to Pegula's 2.77. Rybakina's composed performance across both sets, particularly her tiebreak conversion in the second, secured her passage to the final and maintained her unbeaten record against the American in this tournament. The result extends Rybakina's recent dominance at Melbourne Park and positions her as a genuine contender for the title.