Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaApri l’analisi completaJessica PegulaApri l’analisi completa

Australian OpenCementoSFThursday, January 29, 2026
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 66%34% Pegula
1.43Recorded odds2.77
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSJessica Pegula
6Set 13
7Set 26

Elena Rybakina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaJessica Pegula
78%
% di vittorie in carriera
60%
80%
% di vittorie sul cemento
62%
81%
Tiene il servizio
72%
35%
Strappa il servizio
36%
58%
Prima di servizio dentro
62%
73%
Punti sulla prima
66%
44%
Punti in risposta vinti
44%
6.4
Ace / partita
2.9
57%
% di tiebreak
53%
60%
% di set decisivi
54%
1954
Livello
1809
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina73 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Jessica Pegula76 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
12%Esterno
12%Corpo
26%T
21%T
11%Corpo
18%Esterno
18%Esterno
20%Corpo
13%T
9%T
30%Corpo
9%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T26%
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Sul corpo30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Elena Rybakina defeated Jessica Pegula 6–3, 7–6 in the semi-final of the Australian Open on hard court, confirming her status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.43 to Pegula's 2.77. Rybakina's composed performance across both sets, particularly her tiebreak conversion in the second, secured her passage to the final and maintained her unbeaten record against the American in this tournament. The result extends Rybakina's recent dominance at Melbourne Park and positions her as a genuine contender for the title.