Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaApri l’analisi completaJessica PegulaApri l’analisi completa

Indian WellsCementoQFThursday, March 12, 2026
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 62%38% Pegula
1.53Recorded odds2.48
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSJessica Pegula
6Set 11
7Set 26

Elena Rybakina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaJessica Pegula
78%
% di vittorie in carriera
60%
80%
% di vittorie sul cemento
62%
81%
Tiene il servizio
72%
35%
Strappa il servizio
36%
58%
Prima di servizio dentro
62%
73%
Punti sulla prima
66%
44%
Punti in risposta vinti
44%
6.4
Ace / partita
2.9
57%
% di tiebreak
53%
60%
% di set decisivi
54%
1954
Livello
1809
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina78 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Jessica Pegula57 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
22%Esterno
10%Corpo
21%T
9%T
5%Corpo
33%Esterno
28%Esterno
14%Corpo
11%T
18%T
18%Corpo
12%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno33%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Elena Rybakina defeated Jessica Pegula 6–1, 7–6 in the quarterfinals of Indian Wells, a Masters 1000 event on hard court. As the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.53, Rybakina delivered an expected result against Pegula, who entered at 2.48. The Kazakhstani dominated the opening set with a commanding 6–1 performance, then narrowly edged a competitive second set in a tie-break to secure her place in the semi-finals. The decisive victory reinforces Rybakina's status as a leading contender at the tournament.