Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaApri l’analisi completaKarolína MuchováApri l’analisi completa

BrisbaneCementoQFFriday, January 9, 2026
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 77%23% Muchová
1.26Recorded odds4.29
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSKarolína Muchová
2Set 16
6Set 22
4Set 36

Karolína Muchová won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaKarolína Muchová
78%
% di vittorie in carriera
65%
80%
% di vittorie sul cemento
69%
81%
Tiene il servizio
76%
35%
Strappa il servizio
34%
58%
Prima di servizio dentro
63%
73%
Punti sulla prima
67%
44%
Punti in risposta vinti
43%
6.4
Ace / partita
3.6
57%
% di tiebreak
73%
60%
% di set decisivi
56%
1954
Livello
1746
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina91 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Karolína Muchová69 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
19%Esterno
13%Corpo
20%T
9%T
4%Corpo
35%Esterno
12%Esterno
28%Corpo
14%T
19%T
4%Corpo
23%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno35%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Sul corpo28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Karolína Muchová upset favourite Elena Rybakina 6–2, 2–6, 6–4 in the quarter-final of the Brisbane WTA 250 on hard court. Rybakina entered as the odds-on favourite at 1.26, with Muchová priced at 4.29, yet the Czech player delivered a composed performance to claim victory in three sets. After losing the opening set decisively, Muchová levelled the match with a commanding second set before seizing control in the decider to secure her place in the semi-finals. The comeback victory demonstrates Muchová's ability to read and adapt to her opponent's game, particularly after a sluggish start. This result significantly boosts Muchová's Brisbane campaign and marks a notable scalp against a top-ranked opponent.