Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaApri l’analisi completaVarvara GrachevaApri l’analisi completa

Australian OpenCementoR64Thursday, January 22, 2026
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 92%8% Gracheva
1.03Recorded odds11.46
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSVarvara Gracheva
7Set 15
6Set 22

Elena Rybakina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaVarvara Gracheva
78%
% di vittorie in carriera
27%
80%
% di vittorie sul cemento
31%
81%
Tiene il servizio
52%
35%
Strappa il servizio
35%
58%
Prima di servizio dentro
61%
73%
Punti sulla prima
56%
44%
Punti in risposta vinti
44%
6.4
Ace / partita
1.3
57%
% di tiebreak
50%
60%
% di set decisivi
33%
1954
Livello
1447
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina58 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Varvara Gracheva56 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
19%Esterno
10%Corpo
21%T
10%T
5%Corpo
34%Esterno
16%Esterno
25%Corpo
11%T
11%T
18%Corpo
20%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno34%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Sul corpo25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Elena Rybakina defeated Varvara Gracheva 7–5, 6–2 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court on 22 January 2026, confirming her status as the overwhelming pre-match favourite with odds of 1.03. Gracheva, a significant underdog at 11.46, offered limited resistance as Rybakina controlled the match across both sets, taking the opener in a competitive first set before dominating the second to seal a straightforward progression. The victory underscores Rybakina's current form heading deeper into the tournament.