Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elise MertensApri l’analisi completaTereza ValentovaApri l’analisi completa

OsakaCementoR16Thursday, October 16, 2025
No-vig market probability
Mertens 47%53% Valentova
2.09Recorded odds1.82
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elise MertensVSTereza Valentova
4Set 16
1Set 26

Tereza Valentova won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elise MertensTereza Valentova
44%
% di vittorie in carriera
65%
38%
% di vittorie sul cemento
65%
69%
Tiene il servizio
71%
31%
Strappa il servizio
39%
61%
Prima di servizio dentro
61%
67%
Punti sulla prima
67%
42%
Punti in risposta vinti
46%
3.3
Ace / partita
2.4
31%
% di tiebreak
38%
33%
% di set decisivi
75%
1523
Livello
1602
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elise Mertens45 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Tereza Valentova54 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
27%Esterno
16%Corpo
11%T
29%T
11%Corpo
7%Esterno
19%Esterno
19%Corpo
17%T
19%T
17%Corpo
11%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · T29%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno19%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Tereza Valentova defeated Elise Mertens 6–4, 6–1 in the second round of the WTA 250 event in Osaka on a hard court, confirming her status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.82 to Mertens' 2.09. Valentova's dominant second-set performance, where she conceded just one game, underscored her superiority on the day and suggests she has found considerable momentum at the tournament. The Czech player's clinical execution in the closing stages prevented any sustained pressure from Mertens, who struggled to maintain consistency through the match. Valentova's progression to the quarter-finals positions her well within the draw, whilst Mertens will need to reassess her hard-court form moving forward.