Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elsa JacquemotApri l’analisi completaMarta KostyukApri l’analisi completa

Australian OpenCementoR128Sunday, January 18, 2026
No-vig market probability
Jacquemot 12%88% Kostyuk
7.83Recorded odds1.07
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elsa JacquemotVSMarta Kostyuk
6Set 17
7Set 26
7Set 36

Elsa Jacquemot won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elsa JacquemotMarta Kostyuk
43%
% di vittorie in carriera
61%
46%
% di vittorie sul cemento
63%
65%
Tiene il servizio
70%
32%
Strappa il servizio
37%
62%
Prima di servizio dentro
60%
65%
Punti sulla prima
68%
43%
Punti in risposta vinti
44%
4.3
Ace / partita
3.3
46%
% di tiebreak
55%
60%
% di set decisivi
50%
1489
Livello
1695
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elsa Jacquemot160 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Marta Kostyuk134 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
26%Esterno
13%Corpo
12%T
26%T
16%Corpo
8%Esterno
25%Esterno
13%Corpo
14%T
9%T
23%Corpo
16%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno26%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Elsa Jacquemot defeated Marta Kostyuk 6–7 7–6 7–6 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court on 18 January 2026, delivering a major upset against the heavy favourite. Kostyuk entered with odds of 1.07, making her the overwhelming pre-match favourite, whilst Jacquemot was a 7.83 outsider. The match proved remarkably tight across all three sets, each decided by a single break or tiebreak, with neither player able to establish decisive separation. Jacquemot's ability to stay composed in the closing moments of consecutive tiebreaks proved the difference in a contest that defied the betting odds. The result marks a significant scalp for Jacquemot early in the season and suggests considerable resilience under pressure in a Grand Slam environment.