Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Félix Auger-AliassimeApri l’analisi completaMatteo ArnaldiApri l’analisi completa

Roland GarrosTerra rossaR128Tuesday, May 27, 2025
No-vig market probability
Auger-Aliassime 52%48% Arnaldi
1.87Recorded odds2.05
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Félix Auger-AliassimeVSMatteo Arnaldi
7Set 15
6Set 22
3Set 36
4Set 46
2Set 56

Matteo Arnaldi won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Félix Auger-AliassimeMatteo Arnaldi
48%
% di vittorie in carriera
38%
45%
% di vittorie sulla terra
60%
84%
Tiene il servizio
72%
16%
Strappa il servizio
19%
63%
Prima di servizio dentro
57%
76%
Punti sulla prima
68%
35%
Punti in risposta vinti
36%
9.4
Ace / partita
5.3
47%
% di tiebreak
50%
54%
% di set decisivi
29%
1629
Livello
1462
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Félix Auger-Aliassime137 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Matteo Arnaldi172 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
28%Esterno
6%Corpo
19%T
20%T
12%Corpo
16%Esterno
17%Esterno
9%Corpo
26%T
13%T
5%Corpo
30%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno28%
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Félix Auger-Aliassime 5–7, 2–6, 6–3, 6–4, 6–2 in the first round of Roland Garros on clay on 27 May 2025, pulling off an upset against the pre-match favourite. Auger-Aliassime, seeded higher in the betting odds at 1.87, struggled to maintain control after losing the opening two sets on the slow surface. Arnaldi, despite entering as the underdog at 2.05, mounted a decisive comeback from two sets down, reeling off three consecutive sets to secure the victory. The Italian's clay-court resilience proved decisive as Auger-Aliassime's form deteriorated in the latter stages of the match. The result marks a notable upset and suggests Arnaldi possesses the tactical nous and consistency required for a deep run on the Paris clay.