Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Flavio CobolliApri l’analisi completaSebastian BaezApri l’analisi completa

BucharestTerra rossaFSunday, April 6, 2025
No-vig market probability
Cobolli 39%61% Baez
2.52Recorded odds1.60
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Flavio CobolliVSSebastian Baez
6Set 14
6Set 24

Flavio Cobolli won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Flavio CobolliSebastian Baez
44%
% di vittorie in carriera
38%
38%
% di vittorie sulla terra
55%
77%
Tiene il servizio
68%
14%
Strappa il servizio
25%
58%
Prima di servizio dentro
71%
70%
Punti sulla prima
62%
33%
Punti in risposta vinti
39%
5.3
Ace / partita
1.3
50%
% di tiebreak
17%
78%
% di set decisivi
54%
1557
Livello
1459
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Flavio Cobolli69 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Sebastian Baez74 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
13%Esterno
6%Corpo
33%T
9%T
19%Corpo
20%Esterno
12%Esterno
9%Corpo
28%T
14%T
4%Corpo
32%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T33%
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno32%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Flavio Cobolli defeated Sebastian Baez 6-4, 6-4 in the final of the ATP 250 Bucharest on clay on 6 April 2025, securing an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Baez had entered the match as the odds-on favourite at 1.60, with Cobolli priced at 2.52, yet the Italian proved the superior player across both sets, winning each with identical scorelines. The comprehensive nature of the victory—two straight sets without requiring a tiebreak—demonstrated Cobolli's dominance on the surface. This maiden ATP 250 title represents a significant breakthrough for Cobolli and marks a notable reversal in form for Baez, who failed to convert favouritism into a trophy.