Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Hailey BaptisteApri l’analisi completaNaomi OsakaApri l’analisi completa

US OpenCementoR64Thursday, August 28, 2025
No-vig market probability
Baptiste 20%80% Osaka
4.84Recorded odds1.22
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Hailey BaptisteVSNaomi Osaka
3Set 16
1Set 26

Naomi Osaka won the match

SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Hailey Baptiste52 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Naomi Osaka47 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
23%Esterno
21%Corpo
6%T
4%T
27%Corpo
19%Esterno
6%Esterno
34%Corpo
17%T
15%T
13%Corpo
15%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Sul corpo27%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Sul corpo34%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Naomi Osaka defeated Hailey Baptiste 6–3, 6–1 in the first round of the US Open on hard court, confirming her status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.22 against Baptiste's 4.84. The Japanese former champion's dominance was evident from the outset, with Baptiste unable to sustain competitive pressure across either set. Osaka's clinical performance—particularly her control in the second set—suggests she has entered the tournament with considerable momentum. The margin of victory underscores the gap between the two players' current form and pedigree, with Osaka advancing smoothly to the second round where further tests await.