Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Holger RuneApri l’analisi completaNicolas JarryApri l’analisi completa

WimbledonErbaR128Monday, June 30, 2025
No-vig market probability
Rune 74%26% Jarry
1.30Recorded odds3.76
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Holger RuneVSNicolas Jarry
6Set 14
6Set 24
5Set 37
3Set 46
4Set 56

Nicolas Jarry won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Holger RuneNicolas Jarry
52%
% di vittorie in carriera
45%
40%
% di vittorie sull'erba
75%
79%
Tiene il servizio
85%
17%
Strappa il servizio
14%
61%
Prima di servizio dentro
65%
70%
Punti sulla prima
74%
35%
Punti in risposta vinti
33%
5.1
Ace / partita
8.1
54%
% di tiebreak
52%
50%
% di set decisivi
44%
1565
Livello
1583
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Holger Rune150 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Nicolas Jarry138 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
19%Esterno
16%Corpo
18%T
17%T
9%Corpo
21%Esterno
18%Esterno
12%Corpo
22%T
13%T
15%Corpo
19%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno21%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T22%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Nicolas Jarry defeated Holger Rune 4–6, 4–6, 7–5, 6–3, 6–4 in the first round of Wimbledon on grass on 30 June 2025, delivering a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Rune, seeded higher with odds of 1.30, dominated the opening two sets, but Jarry mounted a sustained comeback to claim three consecutive sets and secure victory. The Chilean's resilience from two sets down demonstrated tactical adjustment on the grass surface, where Rune's early dominance proved insufficient to close out the match. This result represents a notable scalp for Jarry at the Championships and signals potential vulnerability in Rune's grass-court game despite his favoured status entering the contest.