Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Holger RuneApri l’analisi completaReilly OpelkaApri l’analisi completa

Miami MastersCementoR64Saturday, March 22, 2025
No-vig market probability
Rune 67%33% Opelka
1.46Recorded odds2.91
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Holger RuneVSReilly Opelka
6Set 14
3Set 26
6Set 37

Reilly Opelka won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Holger RuneReilly Opelka
54%
% di vittorie in carriera
50%
52%
% di vittorie sul cemento
50%
80%
Tiene il servizio
90%
17%
Strappa il servizio
8%
61%
Prima di servizio dentro
66%
70%
Punti sulla prima
77%
35%
Punti in risposta vinti
28%
5.1
Ace / partita
16.4
56%
% di tiebreak
54%
52%
% di set decisivi
46%
1600
Livello
1554
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Holger Rune93 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Reilly Opelka93 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
24%Esterno
3%Corpo
26%T
25%T
1%Corpo
22%Esterno
35%Esterno
1%Corpo
16%T
20%T
3%Corpo
24%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T26%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno35%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Reilly Opelka defeated Holger Rune 4–6, 6–3, 7–6 in the first round of the Miami Masters on hard court on 22 March 2025, upsetting the pre-match favourite. Rune, seeded higher in the betting odds at 1.46, struggled to maintain consistency through three sets, losing the opener before recovering in the second. The match went to a deciding tiebreak, which Opelka claimed to secure a notable upset victory. The American's ability to convert under pressure in the third set proved decisive, particularly in the tiebreak where Rune could not close out the contest despite having opportunities. This result represents a significant scalp for Opelka early in the tournament and raises questions about Rune's form heading into the latter stages of the Miami event.