Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Torna al calendario
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Holger RuneApri l’analisi completaRoberto Carballes BaenaApri l’analisi completa

US OpenCementoR128Monday, August 28, 2023
No-vig market probability
Rune 88%12% Baena
1.11Recorded odds8.09
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Holger RuneVSRoberto Carballes Baena
3Set 16
6Set 24
3Set 36
2Set 46

Roberto Carballes Baena won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Holger RuneRoberto Carballes Baena
54%
% di vittorie in carriera
40%
52%
% di vittorie sul cemento
33%
80%
Tiene il servizio
71%
17%
Strappa il servizio
18%
61%
Prima di servizio dentro
66%
70%
Punti sulla prima
64%
35%
Punti in risposta vinti
36%
5.1
Ace / partita
2.2
56%
% di tiebreak
50%
52%
% di set decisivi
57%
1600
Livello
1507
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Holger Rune108 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Roberto Carballes Baena101 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
33%Esterno
6%Corpo
13%T
25%T
4%Corpo
19%Esterno
28%Esterno
10%Corpo
14%T
9%T
17%Corpo
23%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno33%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Roberto Carballes Baena defeated Holger Rune 6–3, 4–6, 6–3, 6–2 in the first round of the US Open on hard court on 28 August 2023, delivering a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Rune entered as the heavy favourite with odds of 1.11, while Carballes Baena was priced at 8.09, reflecting expectations that the Danish player would advance comfortably. However, the Spanish competitor executed a composed performance, taking control after a competitive opening set and consolidating his advantage through the third and fourth sets to secure a commanding victory. The result marked a notable early exit for Rune at Flushing Meadows and demonstrated Carballes Baena's capacity to trouble higher-ranked opponents on the hard court stage.