Indian Wells MastersCementoR16Tuesday, March 10, 2026
No-vig market probability
Sinner 88%12% Fonseca
1.07Recorded odds8.09
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Jannik SinnerVSJoao Fonseca
7Set 16
7Set 26
Jannik Sinner won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Jannik SinnerJoao Fonseca
78%
% di vittorie in carriera
60%
79%
% di vittorie sul cemento
61%
88%
Tiene il servizio
84%
28%
Strappa il servizio
20%
61%
Prima di servizio dentro
66%
76%
Punti sulla prima
71%
41%
Punti in risposta vinti
37%
6.5
Ace / partita
5.4
69%
% di tiebreak
53%
56%
% di set decisivi
47%
2147
Livello
1614
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Jannik Sinner75 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Joao Fonseca81 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
17%Esterno
5%Corpo
31%T
19%T
8%Corpo
20%Esterno
19%Esterno
5%Corpo
30%T
20%T
9%Corpo
19%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T31%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T30%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Jannik Sinner defeated Joao Fonseca 7–6 7–6 in the Indian Wells Masters R16 on hard court, confirming his status as the overwhelming pre-match favourite with odds of 1.07 to Fonseca's 8.09. The Italian top seed secured two tight sets against the Brazilian challenger, each decided by a single break or tiebreak margin. Sinner's composed performance in the crucial moments underscored his consistency at the ATP Masters 1000 level, though Fonseca's competitive showing in both sets suggests the young talent remains a threat on hard courts. The victory advances Sinner deeper into the tournament and maintains his unbeaten record against Fonseca at this stage.