Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Jessica PegulaApri l’analisi completaMadison KeysApri l’analisi completa

Australian OpenCementoR16Monday, January 26, 2026
No-vig market probability
Pegula 59%41% Keys
1.59Recorded odds2.33
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Jessica PegulaVSMadison Keys
6Set 13
6Set 24

Jessica Pegula won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Jessica PegulaMadison Keys
60%
% di vittorie in carriera
60%
62%
% di vittorie sul cemento
61%
72%
Tiene il servizio
76%
36%
Strappa il servizio
31%
62%
Prima di servizio dentro
64%
66%
Punti sulla prima
69%
44%
Punti in risposta vinti
42%
2.9
Ace / partita
5.3
53%
% di tiebreak
73%
54%
% di set decisivi
45%
1809
Livello
1659
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Jessica Pegula66 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Madison Keys59 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
15%Esterno
20%Corpo
17%T
17%T
5%Corpo
27%Esterno
24%Esterno
17%Corpo
12%T
14%T
10%Corpo
24%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno27%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno24%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jessica Pegula defeated Madison Keys 6-3, 6-4 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard court, confirming her status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.59 to Keys's 2.33. Pegula's composed performance saw her secure both sets with relative comfort, breaking down her American opponent's resistance in straight sets to advance deeper into the tournament. The result underscored Pegula's consistency at the Australian Open and her current form on the hard-court circuit. Keys, despite her powerful game, could not generate sufficient momentum to trouble the favourite in either set. Pegula's progression to the quarter-finals strengthens her claim as a genuine contender for the title.