Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Torna al calendario
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Lorenzo MusettiApri l’analisi completaReilly OpelkaApri l’analisi completa

US OpenCementoR128Monday, August 26, 2024
No-vig market probability
Musetti 70%30% Opelka
1.40Recorded odds3.22
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Lorenzo MusettiVSReilly Opelka
7Set 16
1Set 26
6Set 31
7Set 45

Lorenzo Musetti won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Lorenzo MusettiReilly Opelka
56%
% di vittorie in carriera
50%
45%
% di vittorie sul cemento
50%
79%
Tiene il servizio
90%
22%
Strappa il servizio
8%
64%
Prima di servizio dentro
66%
69%
Punti sulla prima
77%
38%
Punti in risposta vinti
28%
3.7
Ace / partita
16.4
45%
% di tiebreak
54%
69%
% di set decisivi
46%
1634
Livello
1554
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Lorenzo Musetti114 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Reilly Opelka135 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
23%Esterno
7%Corpo
22%T
16%T
9%Corpo
24%Esterno
24%Esterno
7%Corpo
21%T
13%T
8%Corpo
26%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno24%
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · Esterno26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Reilly Opelka 7–6, 1–6, 6–1, 7–5 in the first round of the US Open on hard court on 26 August 2024, confirming his pre-match favourite status with odds of 1.4 to Opelka's 3.22. The Italian's performance was uneven across four sets, surrendering the second set decisively before reasserting control in the third. The opening set went to a tiebreak, then the fourth required a late surge to secure the win. Musetti's ability to recover from the second-set lapse and dominate the third demonstrates the mental resilience required at Grand Slams, though the inconsistency will demand refinement in subsequent rounds.