Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Torna al calendario
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Naomi OsakaApri l’analisi completaVictoria MbokoApri l’analisi completa

MontrealCementoFThursday, August 7, 2025
No-vig market probability
Osaka 62%38% Mboko
1.58Recorded odds2.55
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Naomi OsakaVSVictoria Mboko
6Set 12
4Set 26
1Set 36

Victoria Mboko won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Naomi OsakaVictoria Mboko
59%
% di vittorie in carriera
62%
64%
% di vittorie sul cemento
61%
75%
Tiene il servizio
69%
30%
Strappa il servizio
35%
58%
Prima di servizio dentro
65%
72%
Punti sulla prima
67%
42%
Punti in risposta vinti
44%
6.2
Ace / partita
4.1
42%
% di tiebreak
50%
56%
% di set decisivi
100%
1672
Livello
1630
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Naomi Osaka86 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Victoria Mboko92 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
24%Esterno
19%Corpo
8%T
28%T
17%Corpo
3%Esterno
27%Esterno
17%Corpo
7%T
10%T
25%Corpo
14%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoVantaggio · T28%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · Esterno27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Victoria Mboko defeated Naomi Osaka 2–6, 6–4, 6–1 in the final of the Montreal WTA Masters 1000 on hard court on 7 August 2025, delivering a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Osaka controlled the opening set with relative ease, but Mboko regrouped decisively in the second, breaking Osaka's serve at crucial moments to level the match. The third set proved decisive, with Mboko's aggressive baseline play and improved court positioning overwhelming Osaka, who struggled to find consistency as the match progressed. The upset victory marks a career-defining moment for Mboko, who entered as the underdog at 2.55 odds, while Osaka, favoured at 1.58, failed to claim what would have been a significant title on hard court. Mboko's maiden Masters 1000 triumph substantially elevates her ranking and suggests a potential shift in the competitive landscape at the top of the women's game.