Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Novak DjokovićApri l’analisi completaReilly OpelkaApri l’analisi completa

BrisbaneCementoQFFriday, January 3, 2025
No-vig market probability
Djoković 92%8% Opelka
1.06Recorded odds12.64
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Novak DjokovićVSReilly Opelka
6Set 17
3Set 26

Reilly Opelka won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Novak DjokovićReilly Opelka
77%
% di vittorie in carriera
50%
79%
% di vittorie sul cemento
50%
86%
Tiene il servizio
90%
28%
Strappa il servizio
8%
65%
Prima di servizio dentro
66%
73%
Punti sulla prima
77%
40%
Punti in risposta vinti
28%
5.9
Ace / partita
16.4
61%
% di tiebreak
54%
71%
% di set decisivi
46%
1802
Livello
1554
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Novak Djoković73 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
Reilly Opelka64 serves
Dove piazza il servizio
22%Esterno
4%Corpo
27%T
22%T
1%Corpo
23%Esterno
25%Esterno
0%Corpo
27%T
25%T
3%Corpo
20%Esterno
ParitàVantaggioParitàVantaggio
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T27%
Bersaglio preferitoParità · T27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Reilly Opelka defeated Novak Djoković 7–6, 6–3 in the Brisbane ATP 250 quarter-final on hard court on 3 January 2025, delivering a significant upset against the heavy pre-match favourite. Djoković entered as the overwhelming odds-on favourite at 1.06, while Opelka was priced at 12.64, yet the American produced a composed performance to claim victory in straight sets. The opening set went to a tie-break, which Opelka secured before consolidating his advantage in the second set with a decisive 6–3 scoreline. The result marks a notable scalp for Opelka and represents a rare early-tournament setback for Djoković, raising questions about the Serbian's form and fitness as the Australian Open approaches.