Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Adrian MannarinoAbrir análise completaMarin CilicAbrir análise completa

Hong KongPiso duroR32Sunday, January 4, 2026
No-vig market probability
Mannarino 45%55% Cilic
2.16Recorded odds1.77
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Adrian MannarinoVSMarin Cilic
3Set 16
2Set 26

Marin Cilic won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Adrian MannarinoMarin Cilic
38%
% de vitórias na carreira
40%
36%
% de vitórias em dura
41%
76%
Mantém o saque
80%
17%
Quebra o saque
16%
61%
1º serviço dentro
57%
68%
Pontos no 1º serviço
75%
35%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
34%
5.0
Ases / jogo
10.1
37%
% de tiebreaks
48%
61%
% de sets decisivos
44%
1442
Nível
1561
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Adrian Mannarino49 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Marin Cilic56 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
27%Aberto
2%Tronco
24%T
14%T
10%Tronco
22%Aberto
18%Aberto
16%Tronco
16%T
14%T
5%Tronco
30%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoIguais · Aberto27%
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Marin Cilic defeated Adrian Mannarino 6–3, 6–2 in the first round of the ATP 250 Hong Kong tournament on hard court on 4 January 2026. Cilic, the pre-match favourite at odds of 1.77, delivered a commanding performance to justify his seeding, breaking down Mannarino's resistance with decisive tennis across both sets. Mannarino, at 2.16 odds, offered limited resistance as Cilic controlled the match with clinical execution. The Croatian's straightforward victory underscores his continued fitness and form heading into the Australian summer, while Mannarino faces an early exit from the tournament.