Indian Wells MastersPiso duroR128Wednesday, March 4, 2026
No-vig market probability
Mannarino 34%66% Berrettini
2.73Recorded odds1.43
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Adrian MannarinoVSMatteo Berrettini
6Set 14
5Set 27
5Set 37
Matteo Berrettini won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Adrian MannarinoMatteo Berrettini
38%
% de vitórias na carreira
59%
36%
% de vitórias em dura
53%
76%
Mantém o saque
88%
17%
Quebra o saque
15%
61%
1º serviço dentro
65%
68%
Pontos no 1º serviço
78%
35%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
34%
5.0
Ases / jogo
10.6
37%
% de tiebreaks
57%
61%
% de sets decisivos
50%
1442
Nível
1629
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Adrian Mannarino113 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Matteo Berrettini100 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
16%Aberto
15%Tronco
22%T
11%T
8%Tronco
28%Aberto
21%Aberto
16%Tronco
17%T
11%T
11%Tronco
24%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto28%
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto24%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Matteo Berrettini defeated Adrian Mannarino 4–6, 7–5, 7–5 in the first round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court. Berrettini, the pre-match favourite at 1.43 odds, recovered from losing the opening set to claim a straight-sets victory in terms of match outcome, though requiring three sets overall. Mannarino, despite the longer odds at 2.73, mounted resistance in the second and third sets, each going to 7–5 before Berrettini secured the decisive break. The Italian's composure in the latter stages proved decisive as he turned the match around following an early setback. Berrettini's comeback victory positions him favourably in his Indian Wells campaign.