Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alex De MinaurAbrir análise completaJannik SinnerAbrir análise completa

Tour FinalsPiso duroSFSaturday, November 15, 2025
No-vig market probability
Minaur 11%89% Sinner
8.53Recorded odds1.10
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alex De MinaurVSJannik Sinner
5Set 17
2Set 26

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alex De MinaurJannik Sinner
52%
% de vitórias na carreira
78%
58%
% de vitórias em dura
79%
79%
Mantém o saque
88%
24%
Quebra o saque
28%
58%
1º serviço dentro
61%
70%
Pontos no 1º serviço
76%
39%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
41%
3.5
Ases / jogo
6.5
49%
% de tiebreaks
69%
49%
% de sets decisivos
56%
1688
Nível
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alex De Minaur88 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Jannik Sinner59 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
20%Aberto
20%Tronco
10%T
15%T
15%Tronco
19%Aberto
17%Aberto
12%Tronco
25%T
15%T
3%Tronco
27%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoIguais · Aberto20%
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Alex De Minaur 7-5 6-2 in the semi-final of the ATP Tour Finals on hard court, a result that confirmed pre-match odds favouring the Italian top seed. De Minaur, competing as a significant underdog at 8.53, offered modest resistance in the opening set before Sinner's superior court control and consistency asserted itself decisively in the second. The scoreline reflects a commanding performance from Sinner, who controlled the rhythm throughout and capitalised on De Minaur's inability to sustain pressure during crucial moments. The victory advances Sinner to the tournament final, reinforcing his status as the year's dominant hard-court performer and extending his record against the Australian.