Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander BublikAbrir análise completaSebastian BaezAbrir análise completa

Miami MastersPiso duroR128Wednesday, March 19, 2025
No-vig market probability
Bublik 63%37% Baez
1.53Recorded odds2.60
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander BublikVSSebastian Baez
6Set 13
6Set 24

Alexander Bublik won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander BublikSebastian Baez
54%
% de vitórias na carreira
38%
48%
% de vitórias em dura
17%
81%
Mantém o saque
68%
15%
Quebra o saque
25%
61%
1º serviço dentro
71%
76%
Pontos no 1º serviço
62%
34%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
39%
10.8
Ases / jogo
1.3
53%
% de tiebreaks
17%
70%
% de sets decisivos
54%
1646
Nível
1459
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Bublik54 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Sebastian Baez51 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
15%Aberto
15%Tronco
24%T
24%T
11%Tronco
11%Aberto
12%Aberto
25%Tronco
14%T
25%T
18%Tronco
6%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoIguais · T24%
Alvo preferidoIguais · Ao corpo25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alexander Bublik defeated Sebastian Baez 6–3, 6–4 at the Miami Masters, an ATP Masters 1000 event on hard court in the first round on 19 March 2025. Bublik, the pre-match favourite at 1.53 odds, delivered a composed performance to secure a straight-sets victory against Baez, who entered at 2.6. The Kazakh player's clinical execution across both sets saw him break serve on multiple occasions and maintain control throughout, never allowing his Argentine opponent to build sustained pressure. Baez, ranked outside the top 100, showed glimpses of competitiveness but could not muster the consistency required to trouble Bublik's baseline game on the fast hard court. The result keeps Bublik's Miami campaign on track as he advances to the next round.